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Pancreas Cancer

This information was posted 09/04/2005 11:36 am by UE
E-mail Address: pyroarteest@aol.com

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I posted previously that there is a unconfirmed, controversial theory that if CA 19-9 is over 500 there is a high likelyhood of metastices.

Please let me clarify 2 things:

1.) this is a far from proven contention, and is NOT braodly accepted or even tested;

2.) the contention is based on retrospective statixstical analysis of data onm patients. Now with stats, there is only only trends and probablities, there are no absolutes. Therefore, even if this contention does hold after further testin and proving, it DOES NOT not mean that there will be some absolute horrible number over which IT IS metastatic (Carol is right, each individual is quite unique).

All it means (IF it turns out to be valid) is that for levels above some number(that several researchers have estimated to be around 500 I think) tbere will be some high percentage (probably 90 or 95%) of time that it will turn out to be metastatic.

There will allways be exceptions, and individual cases that do not fall inside the statistical prediction. Remember with stats, we can tell you that the chances of a ruoulette wheel spinnig a red/black next spin is almost 50%/50%, but that does NOT tell you what the spin will result in.



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